Month: March 2012

15 Mar

March 15, 2012 – Dexter, Michigan EF-3 Tornado

This entry will be short and sweet as it kind of was a surprise event and I wasn’t expecting anything like this for this day. As such, there was no forecast that went into “finding the target.” The majority of this day was luck based, perhaps a bit on positioning skill. Other than that, there is no secret formula to how I intercepted the storm, it just kind of happened.

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02 Mar

March 2, 2012 – Ohio Valley Tornado Outbreak

I’m a little late on this write-up as I was waiting for Louisville to finalize their storm surveys. This day had started to crop up as a potentially significant chase day several days prior to the outbreak. One of the model parameters I always check is the SREF sigtor probability and 3 days out it was forecasting 40% for the Paducah, KY area which is a pretty high value on that model.  The day before the SPC went moderate risk with a 45% hatched probability of severe weather which was recalling shades of April 27, 2011.

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