Friday the 26th was one of those days that looked like it could be pretty significant. A surface low in Kansas with a trailing dryline and cold front was expected to track northeast towards Sioux Falls and eventually to Minneapolis overnight. How overnight and morning convection further south impeded the flow of moisture north would be one of the key factors in how the day would unfold.
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May 25th was one of the first real potent looking days I chase in 2024. A cold front stretching from Michigan into Arkansas with a stationary front from there to West Texas was forecast to move north as a warm front as a strong low developed across Western Kansas. A dryline was forecast to surge eastward across Kansas and Oklahoma as the warm sector was primed for a possible severe outbreak.
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May 20th wasn’t a big chase day and I hadn’t planned on chasing at all. The main focus for the day was storms firing in the high plains, especially near Denver and those storms would track east into Nebraska where they’d encounter better moisture.
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A surface low in northwestern South Dakota with an occluded front arcing across Nebraska and Colorado was forecast to move towards Sioux Falls throughout the day setting up a triple point over northern Iowa. The warm front from there extending eastward into Illinois.
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After a top notch chase day, I spent the night in Council Bluffs because I wasn’t sure if I was going to chase the 27th or not. A surface low was forecast to track from Southeast Colorado to Kansas City with a frontal boundary draped to the northeast into Central Iowa and a dryline stretching towards Midland, TX.
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