Blog

06 Jul

July 6, 2024 – Minden, Nebraska

A weak low pressure was forecast to translate from Colorado into Nebraska, along with it a warm front stretching across southern Nebraska and a trailing cold front south through Colorado. Dewpoints in the low 60°F’s south of the front with cool temperatures aloft set the stage for moderate instability as MLCAPE values would climb near 2,000 J/Kg. Any backing along the front would amplify the tornado chances.

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01 Jul

July 1, 2024 – Brief Tornado near Keene

A surface low with associated warm front was expected to stretch from the Southwest Nebraska and Colorado junction across the state line setting the stage for severe development as the front lifted north. This boundary would be coincident with a moisture axis and along with backed surface flow provide a prime environment for supercells with the potential for tornadoes.

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17 Jun

June 17, 2024 – Bust in the Sandhills

With a trough over the northwest ejecting eastward, a surface low was expected to develop near the CO/WY/NE tri-point. There was an expectation for thunderstorm development near the triple point which was forecast to be located somewhere in southwestern Nebraska. The main question was timing of the upper wave and whether or not storms would initiate on the front.

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07 Jun

June 7, 2024 – Highway 2 Supercell

June 7th was one of those days that ends up being a great chase even without tornadoes. Southerly surface winds were forecast to transport moisture north into Nebraska bringing dewpoints into the upper 50°s to near 60°F in the Sandhills. MLCAPE values were expected to reach 1500 J/Kg. Storms were expected to initiate in north-central Nebraska and migrate southeast eventually growing upscale overnight.

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