June 22nd featured a surface low in Northern South Dakota and Minnesota with a cold front trailing it across Nebraska into Colorado. This front was expected to stall across Nebraska as a stationary front where MLCAPE reaching 2,000 J/Kg was expected in the warm sector.
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June 19th wasn’t a pre-planned chase day. SPC had a marginal extended from South Dakota into Kansas and Colorado along a surface trough. Although MLCAPE values were expected in the 2-3k range, it was a conditional threat on if something would fire.
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This will be a short entry as I was hoping to parlay the previous day’s success into back to back days, but this would end up just being a frustrating grunge chase a lot further south than I ever intended to travel. As far as the forecast, a low in Southeast Colorado was expected to develop into the Texas Panhandle through the day while a dryline extended south and an outflow boundary was supposed to settle somewhere in Southern Kansas.
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The Wellfleet day didn’t seem like it the day before. After chasing in Central Montana I had driven to Spearfish for the night with the intention to drive to Minnesota to play the low today. However, when I awoke, and looked at the forecast it looked like I’d probably have to go to Central Minnesota, at a minimum. I don’t really like chasing north of I-94 there. With a moderate in Kansas for Day 2 I decided to try and find a secondary target to keep me closer to Kansas.
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June 15th was the second day of a 4-day trip that ended up stretching from Central Montana to the Texas Panhandle. The previous day was a chase along the I-25 corridor between Wheatland and Sheridan as I watched a couple storms develop off the foothills, but ultimately not doing much. I spent the night in Sheridan and planned to chase somewhere in Central Montana this day.
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