Severe storms were expected to fire along the Front Range in Colorado and migrate eastward throughout the day. With high CAPE values and moist dewpoints expected in the Nebraska Panhandle area, this appeared to be a relatively favorable area for supercells and possible tornadoes with the easterly upslope flow.
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June 17th and 18th presented a couple of relatively local chase opportunities in Nebraska for me. A surface low in northeastern Colorado and a stalled front extending east from there into Nebraska along the Platte River Valley presented a decent opportunity for severe weather.
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May 26th and 27th looked like a couple of opportunities for some storm chasing in the High Plains. The 26th looked like a decent upslope shot in Eastern Colorado while the following day looked much more potent, but looked like it could transpire across unfavorable chasing terrain in Eastern Kansas, Northeast Oklahoma and Southern Missouri.
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Day two of a three day chase featured a slight risk in the Ozarks while marginal severe probabilities existed on the High Plains. A weak surface low was forecast to develop near the panhandle region and move north eventually consolidating near the Nebraska/Kansas border. With a negatively tilted trough and 100kt upper jet there was a decent chance for severe weather in Eastern Colorado into Western Kansas where dewpoints were progged to reach the low to mid 50s.
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Day one of a three day mini-chasecation as a upper trough was expected to eject into the Plains potentially providing three days of severe weather. The 23rd presented two target areas: Western Texas and Western Oklahoma was characterized by moderate deep layer shear and modest instability while a second target area in Eastern Colorado where a decent area of instability was expected to develop northeast of the surface low, backing low level winds and advecting 50°F dewpoints into the area.
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