Month: April 2025

28 Apr
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April 28, 2025 – Northwest Iowa Moderate Risk

Nick Nolte / Blog, Storm Chasing / / 0 Comments

April 28th was supposed to be the event as the possibility of a regional outbreak loomed large. A deep low pressure was forecast to translate from central South Dakota towards Northern Wisconsin and drag a dryline/cold front extended southward through Nebraska, western Kansas and into West Texas. Meanwhile, a warm front extended east into central Minnesota. Dewpoints into the 60°Fs were expected throughout the warm sector creating a very volatile warm sector.

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27 Apr
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April 27, 2025 – Ashby, NE Sandhills Wedge

Nick Nolte / Blog, Storm Chasing / / 0 Comments

April 27th was a day before the day scenario. A surface low was located in southeastern Wyoming in the morning with a dryline extending south through Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. That surface low was supposed to deepen as it translated east northeast through the day. It looked like playing the area of the dryline that bent back into the low could be a good target, models were not having it with a plethora of solutions not even showing convection.

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17 Apr
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April 17, 2025 – North Omaha Tornado

Nick Nolte / Blog, Storm Chasing / / 0 Comments

April 17th presented a pretty good setup for severe weather across eastern Nebraska into Iowa. A surface low in South Dakota with a cold front stretching into southwest Nebraska where it met with a dryline was forecast to drift east. While a relatively strong EML was present, the cap was expected to weaken from the low in Minnesota and maybe later in the afternoon near the triple point in Nebraska.

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01 Apr
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April 1, 2025 – Local Chase

Nick Nolte / Blog, Storm Chasing / / 0 Comments

April 1 featured a deepening trough migrating out of the western United States with impulses moving into the South and Central Plains. A surface low was forecast to develop in eastern Colorado eventually developing into southwest Kansas then into Eastern Nebraska overnight. With a dryline extending south from the low through Kansas and Oklahoma the primary focus for severe weather would be along the dryline and along the warm front as it drifted north.

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